The context in which many electricity systems find themselves is changing rapidly. Once viewed as an essential public service, many electricity systems are now facing the challenge of market liberalization, pressure to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and increasing fuel prices and fuel price volatility. In Myanmar, some regions are still electrifying micro-grid systems as they are far away from the national grid and geographical conditions. This study explored the long-term electricity forecasting for Taninthayi Region Micro-Grid System from 2021 to 2045. The Long-range Energy Alternating Pathways (LEAP) tool was utilized for the diverse scenarios analysis. Effective optimization and planning can be carried out for micro-grid systems based on accurate forecasting data. The lowest cost system developed by LEAP (optimum scenario) was used as a reference for examining future possible energy policy directions for micro-grid systems.

Long Term Electricity Forecasting, Different Scenarios, Microgrid, Energy Planning, Long-Range Energy Alternating Pathways (LEAP)